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gbanyan 1eb323e959 Paper A v4.2: re-anchor primary calibration to clean BCD 2013-2019 baseline
- Restrict the calibration negative anchor to Firms B/C/D, fiscal years
  2013-2019 (pre-electronic-signature hand-signing period); B/C/D adopted
  e-signing post-2020 at staggered times, so 2013-2019 is the construct-clean
  baseline. Firm A scored across its full 2013-2023 record against it.
- New locked numbers (codex-audited, Scripts 54/55): per-comparison HC floor
  0.000010; per-signature HC floor 0.0059 [boot 0.0045-0.0073]; per-document
  HC 0.0117 / HC+MC 0.1753; per-firm HC+MC B 0.162 / C 0.225 / D 0.089.
  Firm A observed 0.817 = ~139x the clean floor (was ~70x on all-period BCD);
  Firm A out-of-sample vs clean pool 0.0001 (below floor -> never resembles
  genuine hand-signing). BCD 2020+ robustness: per-sig 0.0105, per-comparison
  0.000036 (~2x pre-2020) quantifies the e-signing contamination.
- Propagated through abstract / Sec. I / III-L / IV-M / V / conclusion;
  0.837 crossover kept corpus-wide; ABCD retained as contamination comparison.
- Grounded the 2013-2019 choice on data (floor drift) + e-sign-adoption
  background, not on in-text interview claims (double-blind).
- Add Scripts 54 (temporal floor stability) and 55 (BCD 2013-2019 primary
  calibration + Firm A scoring).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 21:30:06 +08:00
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