 gbanyan
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da455791de
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Paper A v13 rev8: fusion-review revision (29 items) + verified data analysis
Address all 29 items from the fused reviewer report (Gemini 3.1 Pro +
ChatGPT 5.5 + Opus 4.8): 3 fatal, 4 severe, arbitration A/B, 5 fusion-new,
15 minor. All new numbers computed from signature_analysis.db; nothing
fabricated.
Claim honesty (F1/F3/F4/F7/G3):
- Retract all "139x the floor" comparisons; ICCR -> between-accountant
specificity proxy throughout; state within-accountant FPR is not
estimable and ICCR is not even a bound (anti-conservative direction).
- Firm A reframed as quasi-positive known-positive benchmark (not blinded).
- byte-identity recast as prevalence signal, not a recall/sanity check.
- tunable -> single-direction conservativeness dial (no P-R frontier).
New data analysis (verified, bit-reproducible via committed scripts):
- F2/G1 (Sec V-B): 880-PDF imaging-pipeline audit (Table V) - plain scans
82% (2013) -> 1% (2021); producer strings name scanner hardware
(Fuji Xerox D125 etc.); substrate transforms at 2020/21 = named confound.
- F5 (Sec IV-C): four robustness checks - pool-size stratification,
accountant-clustered bootstrap (gap 53.7pp [49.5,57.5]), firm+year FE
logistic (B/C/D OR 0.06-0.12), leave-one-year-out (gap 53.1-54.9pp).
- byte-identity era split: 30 scan-era (18 Firm A, pipeline-robust) vs
232 digital-era (detectability-inflated, hedged).
- G5: archive-wide 888 expected chance HC flags [677,1098].
- M4: Figure 3 replaced with real 2D density (n=150,441).
Structure/minor: abstract restructured (M1); operational definition (M2);
interview disclaimer (M3); Threats to Validity subsection (M8); review
protocol framed as design not evidence (M9); N reconciliations (M10/M11);
Table II-c 2020-23 five-way (M12); Section refs, American spelling,
notation table (M5/M13/M15); reference URLs verified (M14).
Open (author-only): placeholders (M13), II-b/IV table merge (M15).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01Qn59FdF9JMyfFg3sjcUNNG
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2026-06-23 14:36:51 +08:00 |
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gbanyan
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66c9194fcf
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Paper A v13: filled submission draft (rev7) + reproducible build bundle
Fill all 18 placeholders in the condensed v13 submission draft with
data verified against the analysis DB and LOCKED canonical scripts;
close 12/13 co-author review items (only #8b protocol first-run open).
Key changes (need co-author sign-off; see handoff doc):
- Firm A out-of-sample HC 0.01% -> 0.42% (buggy 0.0001 from Script 49
same-pair bug, propagated v4.2->v13; never reuse 0.0001)
- §III-D empty cell ~=0 -> 7,681 honest reframe (not degenerate crops)
- low cosine cut 0.837 -> 0.8547 primary (BCD 2013-2019 closed-world,
held-out discipline; 0.8489 confirmed = BCD all-period); HC/MC/HSC
unchanged, UN/LH move <=0.4pp
Adds Figures 1-5 (real-data plots + schematics), full references,
Appendix A/B, UN/HSC ICCR, n-reconciliation, #13 MOPS-metadata
survival verification, "參" set-level feasibility probe (negative).
Two codex (gpt-5.5) adversarial rounds applied; no fabrication found.
Bundle: paper/v13_build/ (markdown source, harvest/figure scripts,
figures) for reproducibility. Handoff note for co-author included.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-06-15 03:24:50 +08:00 |
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